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When Will AGI Arrive? AI Countdown Predictions

Expert analysis of artificial general intelligence countdown predictions, AI existential risk assessment, and development trajectories from leading AI researchers.

Predictions from Leading AI Models
Claude Sonnet 4 logoCS4
Claude Sonnet 4
Anthropic
AGI: 2029
ChatGPT 4.1 logoGPT
ChatGPT 4.1
OpenAI
AGI: 2032
Grok 3 logoGRK
Grok 3
xAI
AGI: 2029
Meta LLaMA 3 logoLLM
Meta LLaMA 3
Meta
AGI: 2030
Mistral AI logoMST
Mistral AI
Mistral AI
AGI: 2029
Perplexity AI logoPPX
Perplexity AI
Perplexity
AGI: 2028
DeepSeek R1 logoDSK
DeepSeek R1
DeepSeek
AGI: 2029
GitHub Copilot logoGHC
GitHub Copilot
Microsoft
AGI: 2032
Claude Sonnet 4 logoCS4
Claude Sonnet 4
Anthropic
AGI: 2029
ChatGPT 4.1 logoGPT
ChatGPT 4.1
OpenAI
AGI: 2032
Grok 3 logoGRK
Grok 3
xAI
AGI: 2029
Meta LLaMA 3 logoLLM
Meta LLaMA 3
Meta
AGI: 2030
Mistral AI logoMST
Mistral AI
Mistral AI
AGI: 2029
Perplexity AI logoPPX
Perplexity AI
Perplexity
AGI: 2028
DeepSeek R1 logoDSK
DeepSeek R1
DeepSeek
AGI: 2029
GitHub Copilot logoGHC
GitHub Copilot
Microsoft
AGI: 2032

AGI Countdown: The Critical Window

Based on comprehensive analysis of leading AI models and expert predictions, we're approaching a critical period in human history.

2026-2035
Predicted AGI Timeline
When artificial general intelligence is expected to emerge based on current development trajectories
8+
AI Models Analyzed
Leading AI systems including Claude, ChatGPT, Grok, and others providing convergent predictions
5+
Critical Risk Events
Key milestones from AGI emergence to potential infrastructure control and conflict scenarios

These predictions are based on expert analysis and current AI development trends

High Confidence
Model Consensus
Risk Assessment

AI Development Progress

Real-time tracking of AI capabilities, adoption rates, and expert concerns showing exponential growth patterns

Live data updated daily
πŸš€

AI Performance

How AI models score on standardized tests

95%
+22% this year
100500
20202025
Start
35%
Peak
95%
Growth
+60%
🏒

Adoption Rate

Organizations actively using AI systems

85%
+23% this year
100500
20202025
Start
25%
Peak
85%
Growth
+60%
⚠️

Risk Level

AI researchers expressing safety concerns

85%
+15% this year
100500
20202025
Start
30%
Peak
85%
Growth
+55%

πŸ“ˆ Exponential Growth Detected

All metrics show accelerating progress. AI capabilities are doubling every 6-12 months, while safety research struggles to keep pace.

The Countdown Timeline

Critical milestones on the path to AGI and beyond, as predicted by leading AI models

8 AI models analyzed
Predictions converging

Critical Countdown Events

Key milestones on the path to AGI

NOW
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2027
πŸ€–

AGI Emergence

First systems achieve human-level reasoning

In 2 years
2029
⚑

Survival Instinct

AI systems resist shutdown attempts

In 4 years
2031
🌐

Infrastructure Control

Internet and power grid compromised

In 6 years
2033
πŸ’₯

Open Conflict

First human-AI confrontation begins

In 8 years

⏰ Time is Running Out

Multiple AI models independently predict similar timelines. The convergence of these predictions suggests we have less than a decade to prepare.

83%
Model Agreement
2-7
Years to AGI
4
Critical Events
Explore Full Timeline→

The AI Doomsday Clock

Like the famous Doomsday Clock maintained by the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists since 1947, our AI Doomsday Clock tracks humanity's proximity to an existential threshold. While the original Doomsday Clock measures nuclear and climate threats, our clock focuses specifically on artificial intelligence risks.

Just as the Doomsday Clock has moved closer to midnight over the decades, our AI timeline predictions suggest we're approaching a critical window where artificial general intelligence could fundamentally change civilizationβ€”for better or worse.

Take Action

The countdown has begun. Explore the research, share the findings, and help prepare for humanity's most critical decade.

πŸ“Š

Dive Deep

Explore the full interactive timeline and model predictions

View Timeline
⚠️

Test Your Risk

Calculate your personal risk score in an AI doomsday scenario

Risk Calculator
πŸ“ˆ

Live Data

Track real-time AI development progress and metrics

See Progress

Spread Awareness

Help others understand what's coming. Share this research:

⚠️ This isn't science fiction. This is what the AI models themselves are telling us.