When Will AGI Arrive? AI Countdown Predictions
Expert analysis of artificial general intelligence countdown predictions, AI existential risk assessment, and development trajectories from leading AI researchers.
















AGI Countdown: The Critical Window
Based on comprehensive analysis of leading AI models and expert predictions, we're approaching a critical period in human history.
These predictions are based on expert analysis and current AI development trends
Explore the Research
Dive deep into AI timeline predictions, expert analysis, and risk assessments
All research is continuously updated with the latest AI developments and expert insights
AI Development Progress
Real-time tracking of AI capabilities, adoption rates, and expert concerns showing exponential growth patterns
AI Benchmark PerformanceAI Performance
How AI models score on standardized tests
Enterprise AI AdoptionAdoption Rate
Organizations actively using AI systems
Expert Safety ConcernsRisk Level
AI researchers expressing safety concerns
π Exponential Growth Detected
All metrics show accelerating progress. AI capabilities are doubling every 6-12 months, while safety research struggles to keep pace.
The Countdown Timeline
Critical milestones on the path to AGI and beyond, as predicted by leading AI models
Critical Countdown Events
Key milestones on the path to AGI
AGI Emergence
First systems achieve human-level reasoning
Survival Instinct
AI systems resist shutdown attempts
Infrastructure Control
Internet and power grid compromised
Open Conflict
First human-AI confrontation begins
β° Time is Running Out
Multiple AI models independently predict similar timelines. The convergence of these predictions suggests we have less than a decade to prepare.
The AI Doomsday Clock
Like the famous Doomsday Clock maintained by the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists since 1947, our AI Doomsday Clock tracks humanity's proximity to an existential threshold. While the original Doomsday Clock measures nuclear and climate threats, our clock focuses specifically on artificial intelligence risks.
Just as the Doomsday Clock has moved closer to midnight over the decades, our AI timeline predictions suggest we're approaching a critical window where artificial general intelligence could fundamentally change civilizationβfor better or worse.
Take Action
The countdown has begun. Explore the research, share the findings, and help prepare for humanity's most critical decade.
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β οΈ This isn't science fiction. This is what the AI models themselves are telling us.